“But how can I make a difference, if I don’t even understand AI?”

If you feel like you don’t understand AI, you’re not alone. AI’s biggest secret is that nobody fully understands it.

For decades, the world’s leading AI experts disagreed on both the feasibility of achieving AGI and the timelines for its development. The one thing they all had in common? They consistently underestimated how quickly AI milestones would be achieved.

Most experts now predict that AGI will be developed within the next 3 to 5 years. Given their track record, it’s reasonable to assume they could be wrong again—and AGI might arrive in a fraction of that time.

Experts barely agree on how AI’s black box functions, and none truly understand what AGI will mean for society.

To grasp the full implications of AGI, we would need to simultaneously understand the speed, scale, depth, and significance of its impact across the immediate, medium, and long-term future of humanity.

This would require more data points and processing power than even today’s AI can analyze. Not even current AI systems can comprehend the impact of tomorrow’s exponentially more powerful AGI.

Rather than being overwhelmed by trying to understand the impossible, we should focus on understanding what others have yet to grasp.